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Sports

PFT's Week 12 2025 NFL picks, Florio vs. Simms

Details
20 November 2025

Another week, another straight-up tie, at 10-5 each. And a tie was inevitable, since we disagreed on none of the games.

This week, we differ on seven games, and nine against the spread.

For the year, I still hold a wafer-thin straight-up lead, 109-54-1 to 108-55-1.

Against the spread last week, we were both 7-7-1. For the year, I'm 86-77-1. He's 81-82-1.

For all Week 12 picks, keep doing what you've been doing.

Bills (-5.5) at Texans

Josh Allen vs. Davis Mills. That's good enough for me to pick a Buffalo win, but not a Buffalo cover.

Florio's pick: Bills 21, Texans 17.

Simms's pick: Texans 17, Bills 14.

Jets at Ravens (-13.5)

Tyrod Taylor returns to Baltimore, and Lamar Jackson is sufficiently banged up to allow the Jets to keep it within the number.

Florio's pick: Ravens 24, Jets 14.

Simms's pick: Ravens 31, Jets 17.

Steelers at Bears (-2.5)

Aaron Rodgers makes the most of his last game against the Bears.

Florio's pick: Steelers 23, Bears 20.

Simms's pick: Bears 23, Steelers 20.

Patriots (-7) at Bengals

It looks like Joe Burrow will be back. But he doesn't play defense.

Florio's pick: Patriots 34, Bengals 30.

Simms's pick: Patriots 37, Bengals 21.

Giants at Lions (-10.5)

This is not a good week to be playing the Lions in Detroit.

Florio's pick: Lions 45, Giants 20.

Simms's pick: Lions 38, Giants 20.

Vikings at Packers (-6.5)

The Vikings seem to play better when they're expected to lose. The Packers seem to play worse when they're expected to win.

Florio's pick: Vikings 24, Packers 20.

Simms's pick: Packers 24, Vikings 17.

Colts at Chiefs (-3.5)

Will the real Chiefs finally stand up?

Florio's pick: Chiefs 27, Colts 24.

Simms's pick: Colts 24, Chiefs 21.

Seahawks (-13.5) at Titans

Trap game alert.

Florio's pick: Seahawks 27, Titans 17.

Simms's pick: Seahawks 31, Titans 13.

Jaguars (-3) at Cardinals

Can the Jaguars build on their latest signature win?

Florio's pick: Jaguars 24, Cardinals 17.

Simms's pick: Jaguars 27, Cardinals 20.

Browns at Raiders (-3.5)

Someone has to win this one (unless they tie).

Florio's pick: Raiders 23, Browns 20.

Simms's pick: Browns 13, Raiders 10.

Eagles (-3) at Cowboys

If the Cowboys are going to have a shot at a playoff berth, they need this one.

Florio's pick: Cowboys 24, Eagles 21.

Simms's pick: Eagles 24, Cowboys 20.

Falcons at Saints (-1.5)

Kirk Cousins returns to the site of the only playoff win of his career.

Florio's pick: Falcons 23, Saints 17.

Simms's pick: Saints 19, Falcons 17.

Buccaneers at Rams (-6.5)

Baker Mayfield could will the Bucs to a win.

Florio's pick: Rams 27, Buccaneers 24.

Simms's pick: Rams 34, Buccaneers 24.

Panthers at 49ers (-7)

It's hard to look at Carolina's uniforms and associate them with being "good" again. If they win this one, it will get a lot easier.

Florio's pick: 49ers 28, Panthers 20

Simms's pick: 49ers 23, Panthers 20.

Read more …

Bears-Steelers feature two division leaders not favored to win their divisions

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20 November 2025

Of the eight current division leaders, six are favored to finish the job. Two are not.

And those two teams, the Steelers and the Bears, are playing on Sunday.

The Steelers, at 6-4 and holding a one-game lead over the Ravens, are +265 to win the AFC North. Baltimore remains the favorite, at -310.

The Bears have surged to the top of the NFC North, with a 7-3 record. But they're third in the odds to capture the crown at +390, behind 6-3-1 Green Bay and 6-4 Detroit, both of whom has +130 odds to win the division.

It's really no surprise. The Bears have largely fattened up with narrow wins against lesser teams. The schedule down the stretch (at Eagles, two games against the Packers, at the 49ers, and Lions) isn't a cakewalk. Ditto for the Steelers, who still face the Bills, the Ravens twice, and the Lions in Detroit.

Still, the winner of Sunday's Soldier Field showdown will get a boost. The loser may have a problem.

And both teams face a significant challenge when it comes to parlaying their 11-week achievement into a T-shirt and a hat in either of the NFL's North divisions.

Read more …

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: 4 deep stashes to consider adding heading into Week 12

Details
20 November 2025

Justin Boone identifies under-the-radar stashes to consider adding to your roster before they become top fantasy football waiver-wire pickups in future weeks.

[Upgrade to Fantasy Plus and gain your edge in player projections and much more]

While the bar might move occasionally, the general focus is to search among the group of players who are rostered in around 15% or less of the Yahoo leagues.

Greg Dortch, WR, Cardinals (6% rostered)

With Marvin Harrison Jr. set to miss his second straight game after an appendectomy, fantasy managers will be excited to get Michael Wilson into their lineups again — but he shouldn’t be the only Cardinals’ wideout on your radar.

Though Wilson drew all the attention for his 15-catch, 185-yard performance in Week 11, his teammate Dortch wasn’t far behind with six grabs for 66 yards and a touchdown. Wilson finished as the WR2 overall in half PPR scoring, while Dortch came in as the WR11 on a season-high 68% of the snaps.

Next up is another favorable matchup with a Jaguars' defense that has allowed the fourth-most receiving touchdowns, the 10th-most receiving yards and the 13th-most fantasy points to wideouts.

Dortch’s fantasy viability might be short-lived since it’s directly tied to Harrison’s health, but in the meantime he can be started as a WR4/flex option with the kind of upside he displayed last week.

Honorable mention: Chimere Dike, Titans (10% rostered), Luther Burden III, Bears (10% rostered), Pat Bryant, Broncos (1% rostered), Andrei Iosivas, Bengals (10% rostered), Jalen Coker, Panthers (3% rostered), Adonai Mitchell, Jets (2% rostered)

Chris Rodriguez Jr., RB, Commanders (15% rostered)

Rodriguez was a name I covered in Monday’s waiver wire column, but he still remains available in 85% of leagues.

It’s understandable that fantasy managers are overly excited about a player on bye who’s in a three-man committee on a struggling offense. However, prior to the bye, Rodriguez was emerging as the lead back in a trio that also includes Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Jeremy McNichols.

Over their last three games, Rodriguez posted 65 yards and a score against the Seahawks, a touchdown versus the Lions and 85 yards on 16 touches in a loss to the Dolphins.

While that isn’t the kind of production that’s going to win you a title, Rodriguez can certainly step in as an RB3/flex option who can be a bye week or injury replacement.

It’s worth noting, the Commanders face the Giants, Eagles and Cowboys in the fantasy playoffs, all plus opponents for running backs this season. New York and Dallas are especially enticing since both land inside the top seven for fantasy points allowed to running backs.

Honorable mention: Blake Corum, Rams (15% rostered), Michael Carter, Cardinals (4% rostered), Keaton Mitchell, Ravens (3% rostered), Devin Neal, Saints (2% rostered), Jaleel McLaughlin, Broncos (1% rostered)

Brenton Strange, TE, Jaguars (12% rostered)

Strange was back at practice last week and got in two limited sessions before eventually being ruled out. He began this week with another limited practice and appears close to returning to the Jags’ lineup.

In the opening month before he got hurt, Strange had three productive games in the first four outings with 59 yards, 61 yards and 45 yards. He failed to reach the end zone during that span, but was getting the kind of volume that would lead to touchdowns.

With the Jaguars’ receiving corps dealing with injuries and trying to acclimate newly-acquired Jakobi Meyers, there’s a path to Strange picking up where he left off as a meaningful part of Jacksonville’s passing attack.

The 24-year-old could jump back onto the fantasy radar as a TE2 streamer as early as this week.

Honorable mention: AJ Barner, Seahawks (15% rostered), Terrance Ferguson, Rams (0% rostered), Noah Fant, Bengals (4% rostered), Darnell Washington, Steelers (1% rostered), Colby Parkinson, Rams (0% rostered)

Bryce Young, QB, Panthers (18% rostered)

Young finished last year strong, averaging the ninth-most fantasy points per game among quarterbacks over the final seven weeks. That performance over nearly half of the season gave hope that he could become a fantasy option in 2025 if his development continued.

Unfortunately, Young has struggled through most of this season so far, only throwing for more than 200 yards in one of his first nine games.

So it was a complete shock when he nearly tripled his season average for passing yards in Week 11, tossing 448 yards and three touchdowns in a win over the Falcons.

Obviously, we’re not expecting that kind of production moving forward, but there were some changes that occurred in the game which could provide hope for Young.

Head coach Dave Canales spoke extensively about how the team moved star wideout Tetairoa McMillan around the formation to get him some easier looks and the result was a career day for the rookie wideout with eight catches, 130 yards and two scores.

The Panthers also leaned more into the pass with 45 attempts after averaging 26 per game over his last seven contests.

Now, Young will get an opportunity to keep the momentum going against a 49ers’ defense that is the sixth-best matchup for fantasy QBs. In the last two weeks alone, San Francisco has given up 452 yards and two scores to Jacoby Brissett and 280 yards and four touchdowns to Matthew Stafford.

You can treat Young like a solid streaming option this week and we’ll hope he can get hot down the stretch like he did last season.

Honorable mention: Marcus Mariota, Commanders (12% rostered), Tyler Shough, Saints (7% rostered), Tyrod Taylor, Jets (2% rostered)

Read more …

More Articles …

  1. Fantasy Football sleeper picks for those in need of lineup upside in Week 12
  2. Fantasy Football: How will Tee Higgins perform with Ja'Marr Chase suspended and 9 other storylines that will define Week 12
  3. NFL Network had its most-watched slate of Sunday morning Europe games this season
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