NFL fans certainly don’t have to bust out the binoculars to find a marquee matchup in Week 11.
A pair of 6-3 squads in the thick of the playoff race square off in an interconference battle in upstate New York.
Two bitter rivals lock horns in the Mile High City in a pivotal AFC West contest.
The top four favorites to win the NFC clash in separate games at opposite ends of the country. The first pits a pair of 7-2 NFC West foes against one another in Los Angeles, followed by a Sunday Night Football battle in the City of Brotherly Love featuring two first-place teams with a combined 13-5 record.
And the week concludes Monday night in Sin City, where the … Raiders host the Cowboys.
OK, so not every game in Week 11 is a banger. Still, our latest NFL betting trends report breaks down all five of these contests, as well as the game that gets things started: Thursday night's (seemingly lopsided) showdown between rivals at opposite ends of the AFC East standings.
All listed odds are via BetMGM and subject to change.
Kickoff: Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Jets +550/Patriots -800
• New England ran its winning streak to seven in a row with a 28-23 Week 10 upset of the Buccaneers as a 2.5-point road underdog.
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS during their winning streak, which is tied with Denver for the season’s longest active winning streak. It also matches the franchise’s longest heater since Weeks 7-13 of the 2021 season.
New England hasn’t won eight straight games since opening the 2019 season 8-0.
• Through 10 weeks, the Patriots are the NFL’s third-most profitable team at 7-3 ATS. However, while they’re a perfect 5-for-5 covering point spreads on the road, they’re just 2-3 ATS at home (3-2 SU).
The last time New England took the field as a double-digit favorite: Week 17 of 2021, when it pummeled Jacksonville 50-10 as a 16.5-point favorite. It’s the only instance this decade in which the team laid double digits.
However, the Patriots were a double-digit favorite 21 times from 2015-19 – Tom Brady’s final five seasons as the team’s quarterback – and went 17-4 ATS (two postseason games included).
• The Jets have recorded consecutive upsets after starting the season 0-7 (2-5 ATS).
Last week, New York emerged from its Week 9 bye as a 2-point home underdog against the Browns and prevailed 27-20.
The Jets haven’t had a three-game SU winning streak since Weeks 5-8 of 2023 (spanning a Week 7 bye), and haven’t cashed in three straight games since Weeks 4-6 of the same season.
• An interesting NFL betting trend related to this AFC East rivalry: These teams split their season series the last two years, with the visitor winning and covering all four games.
Prior to 2023, New England had defeated the Jets 15 consecutive times (11-4 ATS).
On the over-under front, last year’s second Patriots-Jets clash in New England hurdled the total, ending a 5-0 “under” streak in the rivalry.
Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Buccaneers +200/Bills -250
• With its 28-23 home loss to New England in Week 10, the Buccaneers have now alternated SU and ATS wins and losses in their last four games.
Tampa Bay still hasn’t dropped consecutive games since a four-game slide from Weeks 7-10 last year (a stretch of 16 contests).
Also, the team is on ATS runs of 6-1 following a straight-up defeat, 5-2 as an underdog and 6-3 on the road (7-2 SU).
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• Buffalo was on the wrong end of one of the biggest upsets of the 2025 season in Week 10, falling 30-13 at Miami as an 8-point road favorite.
The Bills are now 1-5 ATS in their last six as a favorite, including three outright losses.
• Back in Week 2, Buffalo QB Josh Allen did not contribute a passing or rushing touchdown in a 20-10 win at the Jets.
Otherwise, though, Allen has thrown multiple TDs six times; rushed for multiple TDs three times; and accounted for at least three scores five times.
Allen sports -118 odds to throw two-plus touchdowns against Tampa, and he’s -115 to carry the pigskin across the goal line.
• Bucs rookie wideout Emeka Egbuka had a long reception of 31 yards in last week’s loss to the Patriots.
Egbuka has had at least one reception of 24 or more yards in seven of his first nine NFL contests, including the last three in a row. His long reception prop for Sunday: 24.5 yards.
• Since the start of 2024, the Bills and their opponents have combined for at least 49 points nine times in 14 games played in Buffalo.
Contrary to that NFL betting trend, the under is 4-1 in Bucs road games this season. Combined point totals: 43, 39, 33, 26 and 73.
Kickoff: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Seahawks +140/Rams -165
• Seattle and Los Angeles enter Sunday’s NFC West showdown on a 4-0 SU and ATS roll, and both are tied atop the NFL’s point-spread standings at 7-2 ATS.
Last week, the Seahawks throttled Arizona 44-22 as a 7.5-point home favorite, while the Rams dumped the Niners in San Francisco 42-26 as a 6-point fave.
Going back to Week 2, Seattle is 7-1 SU and ATS. Six of the seven victories were by a touchdown or more, including four wins by 14-plus points.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles has outscored its last four opponents – San Francisco, New Orleans, Jacksonville and Baltimore — by a combined tally of 128-46.
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• Revisiting one of the most remarkable ongoing NFL betting trends, the Seahawks are in the midst of a franchise-record 10-game road winning streak (8-2 ATS).
They’ve covered in all four games as a visitor this season, pummeling Pittsburgh (31-17), Jacksonville (20-12) and Washington (38-14) while eking out a win at Arizona (23-20).
• Going back to Week 11 of 2023, the Rams are 24-10 SU and 22-12 ATS overall, which includes a 12-6 mark at SoFi Stadium (10-7 ATS).
Also, take out two meaningless defeats in Week 18 finales, and Los Angeles has won 10 of 13 against the Seahawks since 2017 (9-4 ATS).
• The over has cashed in each of Seattle’s last three games and six of the last seven.
Conversely, the under has hit in nine of the last 11 Seahawks-Rams battles, with the last five in a row in L.A. staying below the total.
Kickoff: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
Moneyline:Chiefs -200/Broncos +165
• Kansas City went into its Week 10 bye off a 28-21 loss at Buffalo as a 2.5-point road favorite.
That snapped the Chiefs’ three-game SU and ATS winning streak. They also fell to 1-3 SU and ATS as a road/neutral-site favorite this season.
Since the start of last season, Kansas City is 3-6-1 ATS when laying points away from Arrowhead Stadium.
• Under head coach Andy Reid, the Chiefs are 9-3 after a midseason bye (6-6 ATS).
Throw in the playoffs, and Kansas City is 17-5 SU following a week off since Reid took over in 2013 (but only 11-11 ATS).
• The Broncos extended their winning streak to seven in a row with an ugly 10-7 Thursday Night Football victory over the Raiders in Week 10.
Denver never threatened to cover as an 8.5-point home favorite, dropping to 4-6 ATS on the season (2-3 ATS at home). That’s in sharp contrast to 2024, when coach Sean Payton’s crew went 12-5 ATS overall and 6-3 ATS at home.
• The Broncos are tied with New England for the NFL’s longest active winning streak.
They haven’t won eight in a row since the 2012 squad closed with 11 consecutive victories.
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• Denver will take the field Sunday as a home underdog for the first time since Week 6 last season, when it lost 23-16 to the Chargers as a 3-point pup.
The Broncos are 2-3 ATS in their last five as a home underdog, but both spread-covers came against Kansas City (34-28 loss as an 8.5-point underdog in 2022; 24-9 win as a 7-point ’dog in 2023).
• During an eight-year stretch from 2015-23, the Chiefs won 16 consecutive games in this rivalry.
However, Denver has taken two of the last three (including a meaningless 38-0 whitewash in the 2024 finale).
Another rivalry-related NFL betting trend that favors the Broncos: They’re on an 8-2 ATS uptick versus Kansas City after going 1-9 ATS in the previous 10.
• With Thursday’s 10-7 snoozer against Las Vegas, the Broncos have now stayed under the total in seven of 10 games this season. Also, Kansas City is in the midst of a 4-0 “under” stretch.
Finally, the under has cashed in four consecutive Chiefs-Broncos meetings.
Kickoff: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Lions +120/Eagles -145
• Detroit hits the road to face an NFC East opponent for the second straight week, having blasted the Commanders 44-22 as an 8.5-point favorite in Week 10.
With the victory, the Lions avenged last year’s stunning home playoff loss to Washington. More significantly from an NFL betting trends perspective, Detroit improved to 41-12 SU and 39-14 ATS dating to Week 9 of 2022.
During this stretch, the Lions are 21-6 SU and ATS on the road; 8-5 SU and 10-3 ATS as an underdog; and 13-0 SU and ATS following a defeat.
Additionally, Detroit has cashed in six of its last seven against NFC East foes.
• Coming off their bye, the Eagles closed out Week 10 with an uninspiring 10-7 victory at Green Bay on Monday night.
Philadelphia has followed its only two defeats of 2025 — consecutive upset losses to the Broncos (21-17) and Giants (34-17) — with a trio of SU and ATS triumphs.
Including last year’s postseason run, which ended with a blowout of Kansas City in Super Bowl 59, the Eagles are 25-5 SU and 20-10 ATS since the 2024 season kicked off.
• Eagles QB Jalen Hurts had only 183 passing yards at the Packers on Monday. It’s the fifth time in nine games that Hurts threw for fewer than 185 yards.
He also failed to rush for a touchdown for the third straight contest. In four-plus seasons as Philly’s starting QB, Hurts has only had one four-game scoring drought: Weeks 7-10 of the 2021 campaign.
Hurts’ passing yards projection for Sunday night against Detroit ranges from 203.5 to 205.5. His odds of scoring a touchdown: +105 to +120.
• Detroit and Philadelphia have squared off nine times since 2007, and all nine games went over the total.
Eight of the contests cleared 48 points. The only exception: Detroit’s 24-23 home win in 2016.
Kickoff: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Cowboys -175/Raiders +145
• Dallas entered its Week 10 bye following consecutive blowout losses to the Broncos (44-24 on the road) and Cardinals (27-17 at home).
The Cowboys have not had a three-game SU or ATS losing skid since a five-game slump in Weeks 6-11 of last season (spanning a Week 7 bye).
• The Raiders have dropped three in a row and seven of eight since kicking off the season with a 20-13 upset at New England.
Las Vegas did easily cash as an 8.5-point underdog in last Thursday’s 10-7 loss at Denver, improving to 3-1 ATS in its last four – after covering the spread just once in the first five weeks.
• Raiders QB Geno Smith has thrown an interception in seven of nine games, including all four home contests.
This week, Smith faces a Cowboys secondary that has picked off one pass in three of its last four games.
• Other noteworthy NFL betting trends related to this interconference clash:
The underdog is 7-2 ATS in Cowboys games this season (with Dallas going 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS as a favorite), and the Cowboys are mired in an 0-3 SU and ATS Monday Night Football funk.
Conversely, against teams not named the Chargers, Las Vegas is on a 9-1 ATS roll on Monday Night Football, including 8-1 ATS as an underdog with six outright upsets.
Finally, the over is 17-9 in Dallas games since the start of last season (6-2 in the last eight on the road). However, the under is 7-1 in the Raiders’ last eight MNF appearances, with the last five in a row staying low.