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Sports

Fantasy Football Week 12 Target Trends: Cincinnati's awful seam coverage is making almost every tight end look elite

Details
25 November 2025

Once a week during the NFL season, I dig into the pass-game data and try to figure out what trends matter at wide receiver, tight end and running back. Let’s open up the spreadsheets and see what we find.

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Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, WR, Rams

It pains me to say anything even slightly negative about Nacua. He’s a superstar. He plays every snap like it’s his last. He’s the easiest guy in the world to root for.

But we can’t ignore that Adams was put on this Earth to dominate in the red area. And the Rams simply don’t use Nacua in the same way.

This has been underscored the last four weeks, since Nacua returned from injury. Adams has nine red-zone targets and five red-zone touchdown catches, best among NFL wideouts for that sample. Meanwhile, Nacua has just three targets in this area, and zero touchdowns, since his return.

This is not a new concern for Nacua managers, of course. Last year (without Adams to share with) he had a modest 13 red-zone targets (23rd among receivers) and a modest three red-zone touchdowns. For as much as Nacua dominates between the 20s, the Rams have never had the best plays for him from in close.

Sometimes you just have to shrug and say “start them all” with an offense like this. The situation is similar in Dallas — CeeDee Lamb is still plenty good, but George Pickens has been more impactful than expected. Adams was already on a Hall of Fame trajectory before he signed with the Rams, but his red-zone dominance has immediately translated to his new team. I’m going to rank all four of these receivers inside the top 10 this week, but I’ll give some thought to perhaps listing Adams and Pickens as the WR1s on their own teams.

Cincinnati’s Awful Seam Coverage

It wasn’t a surprise that Hunter Henry cooked at Cincinnati last week (7-115-1). The Bengals can’t stop anyone’s tight end this year. Heck, Henry had a second score called back by a questionable penalty, and on another reception, he was tackled just shy of the goal. He was already the TE1 for the week, but it could have been a nuclear performance.

This coverage leak was a problem for Cincinnati when the year started, but it’s really spiked in recent games. Henry did what he did in Week 12. Colston Loveland had his “Hello, World” game in Week 9 (6-118-2). Mason Taylor had five catches and a touchdown in Week 8. Three different Pittsburgh tight ends combined for four touchdowns in Week 7, Tucker Kraft spiked in Week 6, and Sam LaPorta and Brock Wright both found the end zone in Week 5. Automatic for the people.

This is when you get out the remaining schedule and start salivating. Here’s the dance card for the rest of the way, the tight ends who draw the Bengals:

Week 13: Mark Andrews, Ravens (Thanksgiving)

Week 14: Dalton Kincaid, Bills (hopefully)

Week 15: Andrews again

Week 16: Greg Dulcich or (perhaps) Darren Waller, Dolphins

Week 17: Trey McBride, Cardinals (Yahtzee!)

Week 18: Harold Fannin Jr. or David Njoku, Browns

Get to work on your touchdown dance. We’ll see you in the end zone.

Dylan Sampson, RB, Browns

Often it’s a mistake to look for reasonable patterns with the Cleveland Browns. They’ve made the playoffs just three times since the 1999 reboot, and it’s been just four winning seasons over that period. I have great admiration for the loyal Cleveland fans, but the team has often let the city down.

So I guess it wasn’t that surprising when Sampson had a snappy Week 1 debut as a pass-catcher — 8-64-0, securing every target — then was mothballed for weeks. Sure, the availability of fellow rookie RB Quinshon Judkins had to be respected, but Sampson was also a star at a major college, and his pass-catching chops reserved some respect.

Maybe the Browns are getting back to Sampson. He had six targets and a 5-29-0 line in the New England loss a month ago, and then last week he erupted for a 66-yard touchdown on a perfectly-designed screen pass. Judkins also missed some time in the Week 12 win — though he later returned to the game after undergoing a concussion screening.

Sampson wasn’t just a good player at Tennessee, he was a star. He led the SEC in rushing yards and total touchdowns last year and was named the conference's Offensive Player of the Year. Maybe Sampson can’t be trusted for fantasy unless Judkins has a setback, but I want to see more of Sampson’s pass-catching work. And after last week, maybe the Browns are finally on board, too.

RJ Harvey, RB, Broncos

Harvey is an obvious spotlight player for the final quarter of the year. He’s had time to get his feet wet, and the Broncos need him more than ever with J.K. Dobbins down for the year. Harvey didn’t go off the last time we saw him (Week 11’s win over Kansas City), but he did handle 14 touches, his second-highest count of the year. Part of that return was a 3-20-0 day through the air.

And that pass-catching role has major untapped potential. You might notice Harvey has caught 28-of-32 passes this year, and he’s scored on four receptions. And if you run the stats on the best passer ratings tied to a running back being targeted, Harvey leads everyone with a gaudy 131.6 number. Nobody’s even close; a handful of backs are in the 113-119 range when targeted (Kyren Williams, Sampson from above, Jonathan Taylor, Kyle Juszczyk, Jahmyr Gibbs).

To be fair, the passer rating stat puts a lot of emphasis on touchdowns — perhaps too much. Harvey’s catch rate is outstanding but 6.1 yards per target is ordinary. It’s not like he’s making us forget Marshall Faulk and LaDainian Tomlinson. But player improvement is often linear for rookies, and the Broncos have had some time to coach Harvey up for an increased role. I’m eager to see the unveiling in the upcoming weeks.

Top-5 target earners at each position from Week 12

Wide Receiver

Player

Targets

Receptions

Target Share

Michael Wilson, Cardinals

15

10

32.6%

Wan'Dale Robinson, Giants

14

9

41.2%

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions

13

9

34.2%

Chris Olave, Saints

13

9

30.2%

Rashee Rice, Chiefs

12

8

27.9%

Running Back

Player

Targets

Receptions

Target Share

Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions

12

11

31.6%

Ashton Jeanty, Raiders

8

8

19%

Saquon Barkley, Eagles

8

7

22.2%

Devin Neal, Saints

7

5

16.3%

Christian McCaffrey, 49ers

7

7

21.9%

Tight End

Player

Targets

Receptions

Target Share

George Kittle, 49ers

10

6

31.3%

Trey McBride, Cardinals

10

9

21.7%

Hunter Henry, Patriots

10

7

30.3%

Brock Bowers, Raiders

9

6

21.4%

Juwan Johnson, Saints

7

6

16.3%

Read more …

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Players to drop for your Week 13 pickups

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25 November 2025

By Jennifer Eakins, 4for4

Just a few-ish years ago, this used to be the last week of the regular fantasy football season in most leagues, but with an extra game, you likely have at least two more contests until the postseason. Either way, you want the tightest squad possible moving forward.

These moves may not be for everyone, as each roster is different and so are your records and point totals, but below are a handful of players who may be underperforming or underutilized, or possibly have difficult matchups down the stretch.

[Visit 4for4 for more fantasy football analysis]

Oh, and also, Happy Thanksgiving, everyone!

Jordan Addison, WR - Vikings

Coming off a big fat goose egg, it’s probably not too hard for the 88% of Yahoo managers who have Jordan Addison to want to send him packing. Well, I'm here to give you that extra push. He saw his lowest target total of the season last week (1), and it just seems that he and J.J. McCarthy aren’t in sync. With such limited time left in the fantasy season to get there, Addison isn't worth the weekly mental anguish.

Romeo Doubs, WR - Packers

Since his three-touchdown performance in Week 3 at Jerry World, Romeo Doubs has failed to find the end zone in every game since (aside from a 2-point conversion). With Christian Watson healthy, Jayden Reed coming back and the way Jordan Love spreads the ball around, Doubs just doesn’t have roster-worthy value without crossing the pylon.

Rhamondre Stevenson, RB - Patriots

After a three-week absence due to a toe issue, Rhamondre Stevenson returned last week to only seven touches to TreVeyon Henderson’s 21. He got two goal-line carries but was stuffed on both, which could hold some value, but also doesn’t provide a high enough floor. The backfield clearly belongs to the rookie, making Stevenson is a backup and nothing more at this point in the fantasy season.

Rashid Shaheed, WR - Seahawks

Seeing Rashid Shaheed go to Seattle was a potentially sexy move for fantasy, considering how he stretches the field and could be gold opposite Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but it’s been less than that as far as production goes. Since becoming a Seahawk, he’s had just three receptions on eight balls for 30 yards in three contests. He’s also rushed for 27 yards on four attempts, but it's just not enough to keep him rostered.

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Kyle Pitts Sr., TE- Falcons

It really is a holiday week since I finally get to put Kyle Pitts Sr. on this list. Those of you who have been reading my columns for years know how I feel about the “generational talent,” and it’s time to let him go ... again. Pitts has seen the eighth-most targets among TEs this season, and he’s the TE20 overall in half-PPR scoring; the TE23 on a per-game basis. There are better streamers out there for the remainder of the season than relying on Pitts to add to weekly totals.

On Thin Ice:

  • Jameson Williams, Lions

  • Ricky Pearsall, 49ers

Repeat Offenders and Still Droppable

  • Jerry Jeudy, Browns

  • T.J. Hockenson, Vikings

  • Cooper Kupp, Seahawks

  • Keon Coleman, Bills

  • Evan Engram, Broncos

  • Jordan Mason, Vikings

This story originally appeared on 4for4.com

Read more …

Titans interim HC Mike McCoy sees Cam Ward's work "starting to pay off"

Details
25 November 2025

The Titans fell to 1-10 with Sunday's 30-24 loss to the Seahawks, but there will be a major silver lining to their losing season if it ends with quarterback Cam Ward on an upward trajectory.

Interim head coach Mike McCoy believes that Ward is heading in that direction. Ward threw for 256 yards and a touchdown against the Seahawks while avoiding an interception for the third straight game. Ward also ran for a season-high 37 yards and his first NFL touchdown while taking the Titans from being down 20 points to a one-score loss.

Ward was sacked four times, but they're coming at a lower rate than they did early in the season and he didn't fumble the ball. He also showed a knack for making throws on the move that fits with McCoy's belief that the first overall pick in the 2025 draft is making real progress.

“It’s taking that next step, and that’s what he’s done,” McCoy said, via Teresa Walker of the Associated Press. “We’ve been saying it from day one, the way he competes, the way he works every day. When we first came in in the offseason program, the early mornings, staying late, things like that, it’s starting to pay off.”

Given the overall makeup of the roster, the Titans might not win another game this season but more outings like Sunday for Ward should make for interest in their coaching job once the team's search really gets going in January.

Read more …

More Articles …

  1. After foul on one-point try, Panthers missed opportunity for favorable field position
  2. Early Week 13 NFL bets to make right now: Back Jared Goff ... as a runner?
  3. Report: Broncos aren't in the mix for Brandin Cooks
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