Sports

Snap share stock report time! This is where I examine snap share from every single team and highlight some players that may have seen a notable spike or dip in playing time for fantasy football.

JACK BECH: STOCK DOWN

Let’s start in Las Vegas, where, if you thought the Jakobi Meyers trade was going to finally open up playing time for rookie Jack Bech … well, my friends, I got some hard news for ya.

He only played 24.1% of the snaps with fellow rookie Dont’e Thornton playing 60%. 

I mean, the team only spent A SECOND-ROUND PICK on the guy, but sure, let’s get 33-year-old Tyler Lockett on the field for 59% of the snaps. 

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Honestly, I’m not even mad about Lockett; he at least has a lot of built-in chemistry with Geno Smith, but what are we doing out here with Thornton??!? He played all of TWO snaps in Week 6, then played 85.7% of the snaps in Week 7. He was then a HEALTHY SCRATCH in the team’s next game in Week 9 before inexplicably playing 60% of the snaps last week.

MAKE IT MAKE SENSE. 

Bech profiles as a more snappy version of Meyers with inside-outside versatility. Considering Bech’s draft pedigree, I thought Tre Tucker would be the outside speed guy, Lockett would primarily be a slot guy who could float to flanker and that Bech would be the utility receiver used all over the formation. NOPE. 

TROY FRANKLIN: STOCK UP

The second-year player out of Oregon is starting to establish himself as the go-to receiver in Denver. 

Over his last four games, Franklin leads the team in targets and is outpacing Courtland Sutton, 37-26, in looks. When you do the math, Franklin is averaging an eyebrow-raising 9.3 targets per game in that span. You probably didn’t realize or care because he’s only caught 48.6% of those looks and is averaging just 43.8 yards per game despite the heavy volume.

But there’s reason to believe this volume holds up. After seeing his snap share in the 50s and 60s for much of the season, Franklin has posted 79% and 74% snap share in back-to-back weeks.  

Also of note is that Franklin was playing about 50-50 inside-outside on the year but this past week, he all of a sudden played a whopping 76% of his snaps lined up outside. 

This opened the door for Pat Bryant to stick almost exclusively in the slot with a 79% inside alignment. Bryant’s overall snap share didn’t move but this is a development to watch as the rookie could potentially carve out a role for himself as an inside receiver.

RJ HARVEY & TYLER BADIE: STOCK UP

J.K. Dobbins is dealing with a foot injury and there are rumors he could end up on injured reserve. 

Harvey is already rostered and has massive upside but don’t forget about Badie. He’s been solid for the Broncos as a pass-catching option, averaging 8.7 yards per reception. He only has 14 career carries but is averaging 6.8 ypc on those limited opportunities. He’s worth a speculative stash. 

DEVAUGHN VELE: STOCK UP

If you were wondering who might step up after the Rashid Shaheed trade, the answer was resoundingly Devaughn Vele. 

He led the team in routes run and WR snap share, playing 86.6% of the snaps, outpacing Chris Olave in both categories. 

Vele only played 47% in the slot but I would consider him the primary slot man for the Saints moving forward. 

Brandin Cooks played just 49% of the snaps, ran 21 routes and saw literally zero targets. I thought he might actually step forward in that speed slot role and hooooo boy, I was wrong. 

TYRONE TRACY JR.: STOCK UP

Last week, I wrote about Devin Singletary’s stock as on the rise but I also made it very clear that I liked Tracy a lot and that the second-year player obviously has more upside. And in this last game — Brian Daboll’s last game as it turns out — Tracy outsnapped Singletary 65.7% to 34.3%. 

It’s also not insignificant that Singletary was a Daboll guy. With both Daboll and Jaxson Dart out this week, it’s fair to wonder if the Giants lean on the run game. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Tracy either maintain or build on that 65% snap share. 

KENNETH WALKER III: STOCK DOWN

I don’t know why Klint Kubiak hates Kenneth Walker III, I really don’t. But he’s been below 45% snap share in four out of his last five games. 

This week, they mixed in some more George Holani (18.6%) and as a result, Walker played a depressingly low 40.7% of the snaps. 

Seattle’s version of Wendell Brown from Varsity Blues, the team is going with a “anyone but Walker” approach at the goal line, as even Holani got into the end zone. The only problem is that Sam Darnold isn’t pulling a Mox anytime soon, so until something changes, Walker is a high-profile stash-and-pray guy. 

KYLE WILLIAMS: STOCK ????

I have no idea what to do with this New England data. Kyle Williams played 55.9% of the snaps and made literally ONE play. That one play though, was a huge one; a 72-yard catch-and-run touchdown. But I’m struggling to see where Williams sneaks more playing time. 

Mack Hollins played 79.7% of the snaps and had a really good game (10/6/106) and because he’s so active in the run game, I don’t see too many snaps being taken from him.  

Stefon Diggs (59.3% snap share) didn’t really see his play time increase with the Kayshon Boutte hamstring injury. And DeMario Douglas, despite having his first-ever 100-yard game in Week 9, saw no increase in play time at all, playing just 20.3% of the snaps. But because of his work in the slot, I don’t see him coming off the field any more than he already is. 

Williams is a really interesting player and someone you can hold onto at the end of your bench but if you need room, I’m comfortable letting him go and seeing where we’re at with him next year. 

OTHER NOTABLE SNAP SHARE HIGHLIGHTS

• Despite all this Breece Hall trade talk, he ended up playing 70.2% of the snaps, Isaiah Davis 29.8%. Don’t be surprised to see Hall have dominant snap share like this from here on out. 

• Rico Dowdle played 78% of the snaps, Chuba Hubbard 22%. That is dominant snap share usage for Uncle Rico. As a result, Dowdle had 18 carries, Hubbard just three. 

• Is Jaylen Wright the new-old-new insurance back in Miami? He played 18.9% of the snaps this past week while Ollie Gordon II played just three snaps total (5.7%)

• Travis Etienne played 58.2% of the snaps but I wanted to make a note of the backup split. People seem absolutely convinced that Bhayshul Tuten is the unquestioned backup and honestly, I’m not so sure. This LeQuint Allen Jr. character continues to play just as much as Tuten. This past week, Allen played 30.9%, Tuten 27.3%. 

• Jayden Higgins played 58% of the snaps for the Texans in Week 10. That’s a very slight tick up from the beginning of the season but not a great figure overall. He had a nice game, I’m just not convinced we’re seeing a “breakout” here. Xavier Hutchinson still played 52.2% of the snaps, Christian Kirk 42% and Jaylin Noel 33.3%. 

• D’Andre Swift came back from injury and immediately reclaimed the starter role, playing 60.9% of the snaps compared to Kyle Monongai’s 39.1%, a surprise considering Mono-Man’s nearly 200 scrimmage yards the week prior. 

• Christian Watson LED GB WRs in snaps, playing 81.8% of them. Romeo Doubs 62.1%, Dontayvion Wicks 66.7%. 

I didn’t know who Miguel Rojas was until Game 7 of the 2025 World Series. Admittedly, I don’t watch a lot of baseball. Plus, trying to track an infielder who didn’t even play the first five games of the same series during football season is a tough ask. Regardless, hearing about his long road to the majors, ups and downs in L.A. and Miami, ultimately culminating in a career-defining at-bat, reminded me of what development in the NFL can be: Non-linear.

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We try to find trends and patterns in data or film to predict what’ll happen every Thursday, Sunday and Monday. But for some players, it takes time, not just reps, for everything to click. There’s no guarantee what worked before will continue. And it doesn’t always mean we need to panic, but, at the very least, adjust our expectations.

The Bills’ inaction at the trade deadline looms large

During Fantasy Football Live on Sunday morning, I mentioned the Bills’ lack of talent outside of Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir. But I was doing a complimentary bit. We want condensed receiver rooms. That desire is even more pronounced when those pass-catchers are attached to a QB like Josh Allen. But there’s a flip side to that coin.

I only saw the above and similar social media posts, so I didn’t have the full context in real time, but two competing thoughts came to mind. First, look at that protection. Per TruMedia, he had 2.8 seconds before pressure and a hilarious 12.1 seconds before heaving the ball. My second notion came when I saw who caught it. Why any team has to rely on Curtis Samuel to convert 3rd-and-16 attempts in 2025 was baffling at first. But then I saw the news from earlier in the game, and it made sense.

The irony is that the Bills’ beatdown and loss of Kincaid came on the heels of the team not making any moves to acquire an offensive skill player at the trade deadline. GM Brandon Beane believes Buffalo has a championship roster, broke down the complexity of receivers learning new systems and requiring development time and took the long view of doling out contracts and their impact on the cap. I have to admit, it at least sounds like a reasonable approach. However, I’ll quibble with the second part. Because if the non-Shakir WRs are any indication, by Beane’s logic, their next receiver won’t be ready for primetime until 2028.

• Keon Coleman: 79.0% (Route Rate), 1.32 (Yards per Route Run)

• Josh Palmer: 41.5%, 2.07

• Tyrell Shavers: 28.7%, 0.74

• Elijah Moore: 25.0%, 1.7

• Curtis Samuel: 21.3%, 0.71

Everybody has a part-time role. Nobody gets open (consistently). Coleman is in his second year, and over 20% of his targets have been contested looks due to his perimeter role. Palmer has either been hurt or downfield (14.0 air yards per target). And based on his six targets, Samuel must’ve played under a different OC named Joe Brady in Carolina with a separate scheme. But, sarcasm aside, their inability to get on the field, let alone produce, should keep them off our fantasy rosters.

Miami had four corners already on IR, another came into the game with a doubtful designation and the best that four of those Buffalo receivers could do together was 103 total yards and a TD.

The Bills don’t have an obvious counterpunch to losing half of their primary receiving options. And with fantasy managers vying for playoff spots, that level of uncertainty isn’t one to lean into at this point in the season.

New York has a Giant QB problem

Let’s go back to April 24th. If you’d have asked me who would be the better QB between Cam Ward and Jaxson Dart, I’d have sided with Tennessee. Skill level aside, on paper, the Titans’ environment looked better-suited to develop a rookie passer. But, as always, talent won out.

It’s not a stretch to say Jaxson Dart has been the best rookie passer from the ’25 class. He’s the only first-year signal caller with a positive EPA per dropback out of the four with multiple starts (0.07). Even under pressure, Dart not only leads his class in the same metric, but he’s 11th when compared to the rest of the league. And this has primarily been without Malik Nabers and either WRs or offensive linemen missing time. However, his biggest gift to the Giants and former HC Brian Daboll was also something of a curse.

Without question, the kid can boogie once he crosses the line of scrimmage. Dart doesn’t have the size of a Josh Allen or the speed of a Lamar Jackson. But Sunday marked his seventh rushing TD in as many starts. And three came from 15 yards or further. So, the above clip isn’t just a single rep without context. It encapsulates a larger body of work that you could also see through the numbers.

• Rushing Rate (Designed + Scrambles): 21.6%, 3rd (amongst all QBs – min. 140 dropbacks)

• Scramble EPA: 19.0, 3rd

• Rushing First Downs: 26, T-1st

At worst, the Giants found themselves with an above-average passer and drive-extending rusher. It was clear after his third start, and they stunned the Eagles. The cat was out of the bag. They got their guy. Nothing was going to change that. But what should’ve changed was the play-calling.

• Week 8: 11.4% (Designed Rushing Rate); blocking TE Daniel Bellinger, RT Jermaine Eluemunor and Cam Skattebo went down

• Week 9: 9.3%; C John Michael Schmitz went down, Eluemunor was still out

• Week 10: 13.5%; Dart suffers a concussion

If Dart’s rushing totals remained the same because he was scrambling, I could understand it. He’s still learning the position, and using his legs is a natural response. But he had top-10 marks in designed rush rate, while injuries were piling up around him. Dart’s 33 hits coming into Week 10 were the eighth-most of any starter, and the opportunity for contact kept coming. Regardless, the absence of his mobility leaves the Giants' offense with a, well, giant problem.

The reported switch to Jameis Winston does keep the pass-catchers in their respective tiers for now. He had a different crew in Cleveland, but Winston had the highest rate of throws across the middle of the field of the Browns' starters (50.8%), and he could operate under center. In some respects, this shift is like the Cardinals going from Kyler Murray to Jacoby Brissett. However, Winston's tendencies when the pocket breaks down, along with his lack of mobility, will put an added burden on the rushing attack and the offense as a whole until Dart returns.

Let’s give J.J. McCarthy and Justin Jefferson some time

I’ll admit that I didn’t see this game live. But when Matt Harmon and I recapped it, my initial comment was that if Jalen Nailor is leading your receiver room and having a career day, something’s gone wrong. That’s especially true if you have Justin Jefferson on your roster. And after going back to watch it, I had some ideas as to why.

First, let’s talk about the route variety. The Vikings have one of the best route runners in the league as their WR1. In every full season Jefferson has played, he’s finished in the top 10 in yards after the catch per reception (min. 125 targets). However, in Week 10, he only had two manufactured touches (i.e., screens), and seven of his 12 targets were on out-breaking or deep routes with minimal chance for success.

My second takeaway from Sunday’s clips had me all the more confused.

• (Per PFF) Behind the LOS: 14.8% (of his attempts), 93.8% (adjusted completion rate)

• 0-9 Air Yards: 30.6%, 69.7%

• 10-19 Air Yards: 26.9%, 65.5%

• 20+: 15.7%, 47.1%

J.J. McCarthy’s decline as he attempts passes farther downfield isn’t that dissimilar from other QBs. But it’s noticeable. Coming into Week 10, "Nine" ranked 23rd out of 38 qualifying passers in EPA per dropback on throws of 10 air yards or more. They’re not his strong suit, yet. So, when you couple his downfield inefficiencies with Jefferson’s 17.8-yard aDOT (a season-high), a four-catch result (on 12 targets!) isn’t too surprising.

I’m not saying head coach Kevin O’Connell should hide his QB through only short-area throws. However, establishing a balance in the degree of difficulty between attempts would give everyone a confidence boost. McCarthy has averaged over 10 air yards per attempt in consecutive games, and the passing game still looks disjointed. But if they involve more quick-game or intermediate shots to Jefferson, we should expect to see things get back on track.

Have defenses reigned in the Colts?

Honestly, out of all the popularized slang I’ve heard over the last few months, I didn’t see calling something a “wagon” coming — when your offense gets mentioned in the same breath as the '07 Patriots, I get it. But over the last few weeks, it’s looked like the wheels might be coming off.

On the one hand, the doubters saw (hoped?) this was coming. They remembered the younger, pre-neck injury version of Daniel Jones taking sacks at an 8.4% clip and knew it was a matter of time. His six takedowns through Week 7 were only a precursor for the inevitable reversion to the mean. And that math hit the journeyman QB like a ton of bricks.

• Week 8: 30.0% (pressure-to-sack ratio), 0 (Interceptions), 0 (Fumbles)

• Week 9: 31.3%, 3, 3

• Week 10: 50.0%, 1, 3

To be clear, this isn’t an indictment of Jones. Even in the above clip, there’s not much else he could’ve done in the moment to stop the turnover. The interception he threw earlier in the game while targeting Alec Pierce was a miscommunication. But he’s been walking the risk-reward tightrope on similar throws all season. In other words, if your QB is averaging the seventh-most air yards per attempt but 18th in attempts per game, these things will happen. However, let’s gauge the fantasy impact of Jones’ sudden turn of fortune.

• Week 8: 53.1% (Passing Success Rate), +13.4% (CPOE), 48.3% (First Downs per Attempt)

• Week 9: 45.5%, -1.6%, 34.0%

• Week 10: 42.4%, +3.1%, 38.5%

Luckily, Jones’ down-to-down consistency, while on the decline, has been good enough to keep the passing game afloat. He’s thrown for more than 250 passing yards in all three of his sack-filled or turnover-riddled performances. With at least one score through the air, we’re starting to see the floor of this offense rather than stare at the ceiling as we’ve done since Week 1, which is why I’m not (yet) worried about two WRs in particular.

• Michael Pittman Jr. (Target Share): 24% (Weeks 1-9), 8% (Week 10)

• Josh Downs: 18%, 8%

If you had shown me Pittman's or Downs' box score a few weeks ago, I’d have chalked it up to the nature of the offense. The Colts feature four above-average pass-catchers each week. Plus, they have an RB with MVP aspirations. Opportunities will fluctuate each week. We’ve done this with the Chargers all year. More importantly, head coach Shane Steichen still likes to dial up play-action concepts (sixth-highest rate of PA in Week 10 alone), and those two WRs have accounted for 41% of Jones’ targets on those plays. Their post-bye matchups may make Jones a mid-range QB2 (KC, HOU, JAX and SEA), but with time to reset, the overall passing efficiency should keep the pass-catchers in our starting rosters for Week 12.