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The Yahoo Fantasy Football crew reveals their boldest takes for Week 7. Check out what Scott Pianowski, Matt Harmon, Justin Boone, Chris Allen and Joel Smyth have to say.

Quinshon Judkins posts 150 yards and two TDs

Judkins is coming off his quietest day as a pro after the Browns fell behind early and took to the air in comeback mode. Prior to that, Cleveland’s defense had kept the team in most games and allowed their rookie back to shine with at least 70 scrimmage yards in each of his first four outings. Get ready for him to set new career highs against a Dolphins’ defense that’s been circling the drain while giving up big days to Kimani Vidal (138 yards, TD), Rico Dowdle (238 yards, TD), Breece Hall (111 yards), James Cook (118 yards, TD) and Rhamondre Stevenson (142 yards) over the last five weeks. The Browns are actually favored at home and you can expect them to lean on Judkins to help them get the win. — Justin Boone

Ladd McConkey gives us another top-10 finish

I’m willing to chalk up some of Ladd McConkey’s resurgence in Week 6 to Quentin Johnston’s absence. It was the second-year receiver’s first time with a target rate over 20% since L.A.’s season opener. However, after a one-week dip, Justin Herbert’s passing tendencies are back to being fantasy-friendly. Not only was his pass rate up (from -6% PROE to +2%), but his passing aDOT stayed in the short area of the field (5.8 air yards), benefitting the Chargers’ slot man. 

Now, I understand your concern about any WR facing the Colts’ defense. Through six weeks, they’ve allowed the 11th-fewest points to QBs. But a “gauntlet” of Tua Tagovailoa, Bo Nix, Cam Ward, Geno Smith and Jacoby Brissett doesn’t sound daunting in retrospect. Plus, they have two starting CBs working through injury and another retired. With the Colts quietly allowing the fourth-most PPR points to wideouts, McConkey remains a solid play this week. — Chris Allen

Rashee Rice finishes outside the top 24 at WR

The Bold Prediction Police can weigh in on how risky this call is, though I note the industry has Rice slotted at WR11. But when a player has missed as much time as Rice — his last NFL snap came in September of 2024 — I’m going to be careful with my initial expectations. We do like that Patrick Mahomes (the new MVP favorite) is playing at a high level, while Kansas City has basically junked the running game. But with a hapless Raiders team on the other side, the Chiefs might have the advantage of throwing less in this game, and easing Rice back into the flow of NFL life. — Scott Pianowski

Luther Burden III is a top-20 wide receiver

The rookie didn’t get a significant playing time promotion in the first game off the bye, running a route on just 39% of the dropbacks. However, perhaps more importantly, he played some good, confident football for yet another week. 

Burden had a man-coverage, big-boy route win on his deep in-breaking reception, caught the pass confidently away from his body and transitioned to an after-the-catch player immediately. Those are the type of skills stacking together that are critical for Ben Johnson to see out of Burden as he pushes for an expanded role. He may be forced into that spot this week with D.J. Moore looking highly questionable after an overnight stay in the hospital. Burden has a very similar skill set to Moore and will be promoted to the starting flanker spot if Moore is out, not Olamide Zaccheaus. Burden’s after the catch skills will be critical against a Brandon Staley-led defense that wants to limit shot plays down the field. If Burden starts, I expect him to be fed a ton of passes underneath. He’ll be a fantasy starter this week. — Matt Harmon

Justin Herbert finishes top five in fantasy

No QB has been pressured more than Justin Herbert this month after losing three offensive linemen to injury. With the potential return of LT Joe Alt and WR Quentin Johnston, Herbert will have more support in a good matchup versus the Colts defense. Indianapolis is 24th vs. fantasy QBs through the air, but more importantly, 26th in pressure rate. On plays without pressure in 2025, Herbert is No. 1 in passing yards. The Chargers offense is sixth in pass rate this season while the Colts force the fifth-highest pass rate on average. The combination of high volume, health and matchup should give Herbert his first top-five fantasy finish since Week 1. — Joel Smyth

Week 7 of the NFL season started with yet another wacky "Thursday Night Football" game in which the Cincinnati Bengals upset the Pittsburgh Steelers 33-31 as 5.5-point underdogs. Underdogs have now won seven of the past eight prime-time games outright.

What will the rest of the weekend have in store for bettors?

Our NFL handicapping team of Corbie Craig, Ed Feng and Matt Jacob combine to give their best bets for Week 7 of the NFL season. This article will be updated throughout the weekend.

Odds courtesy of BetMGM.

Los Angeles Rams (-3, 44.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars in London

Feng: Don’t let that game-winning drive against Kansas City fool you: Trevor Lawrence has been bad this season. At The Power Rank, I take a QB’s yards per pass attempt (YPPA), which includes negative plays from sacks, and adjust for opposing defenses. 

Lawrence is expected to throw for 5.72 YPPA against an average NFL defense, worse than the 6.18 league average. By contrast, the Rams pass defense has been excellent and ranks fourth by these same adjusted YPPA. The secondary is solid, and Jared Verse and Byron Young bring constant pressure. My new passing yards model based on adjusted YPPA predicts 202.1 passing yards for Lawrence, and the market at BetMGM was 225.5 yesterday.

Bet: Trevor Lawrence under 223.5 passing yards

Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-12, 45.5)

Jacob: Six weeks into the season, Patrick Mahomes remains the Kansas City Chiefs’ leading rusher with 222 yards. He’s done that on just 38 carries, which means the two-time NFL MVP (and two-time Super Bowl MVP) is averaging nearly 6 yards per tote.

Not only has Mahomes cleared 30 rushing yards in four of six games, but he racked up more than 55 yards in three of those contests. His only outliers: Weeks 3 and 4 against the Giants and Ravens, when he scrambled for a total of 7 yards on nine carries.

The Raiders’ defense yielded 31 rushing yards to the Chargers’ Justin Herbert and 40 rushing yards to Washington backup Marcus Mariota in consecutive games in Weeks 2 and 3. Otherwise, Las Vegas has done a solid job containing opposing quarterbacks.

I don’t see that continuing Sunday in Kansas City — not with how often (and how effectively) Mahomes has been scrambling this season.

Bet: Mahomes over 29.5 rushing yards (-110)

New England Patriots (-7, 42.5) at Tennessee Titans

Feng: Let’s start with the assumption that Tennessee is the worst team in the NFL. This is what it takes to get a head coach like Brian Callahan fired, and my best numbers at The Power Rank rate the Titans 6.5 points worse than NFL average. To get a road team favored by 7, you have to make New England about 2.5 points better than NFL average. 

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Second-year QB Drake Maye has been excellent, but it doesn’t help that WR Stefon Diggs is questionable. The New England defense has been awful, and my most optimistic numbers have the Patriots a half point better than NFL average (based on data from the current season).

Bet: Tennessee +7

New York Giants at Denver Broncos (-7, 40.5)

Jacob: The Broncos have been involved in just one shootout this season — a wild, 29-28 loss at Indianapolis in Week 2. And that shootout was confined to the first half, when the two teams combined for five touchdowns and 41 of the 57 points that were scored.

The final scores in Denver’s other five games this season: 20-12 (Titans), 23-20 (Chargers), 28-3 (Bengals), 21-17 (Eagles) and 13-11 (Jets). Spoiler alert: All five stayed under the closing total.

Throw in a 38-0 victory over a stripped-down Chiefs squad in last year’s regular-season finale — followed by a 31-7 playoff loss at Buffalo — and Broncos games have come up short of the total in seven of their last eight. And of those seven contests that stayed under, six featured fewer than 40 points.

Denver comes into Week 7 with the NFL’s No. 2-ranked total defense, No. 2-ranked scoring defense (15.8 points per game), No. 3-ranked passing defense and No. 6-ranked rushing defense. In other words, don’t expect the Giants and rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart — who produced just 14 points at New Orleans two weeks ago — to light up the Mile High Stadium scoreboard Sunday.

As for New York’s defense? Take out that zany 40-37 overtime loss at Dallas in Week 2, and it is yielding just 20.8 PPG.

This one has a 21-10 final written all over it.

Bet: Under 40.5 points (-110)