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Sports

Everything to know for betting NFL Week 6: Sharp action, public betting splits and big bets

Details
10 October 2025

Week 6 of the NFL season has arrived, and it's time to get those bets in. 

We've compiled where the public is betting at BetMGM sportsbooks, along with some notable wagers, and asked around at several other books to find out where the sharp action has come in for this weekend's games.

[For all of our NFL betting content, be sure to check out our new betting hub right here.]

Week 6 NFL best bets| Trends | Survivor picks

Week 6 odds

Sunday

Sunday

9:30 a.m. ET

Denver Broncos (-7.5, 43.5) at New York Jets in London

1 p.m. ET

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6, 38.5)

Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts (-7, 47)

Los Angeles Chargers (-4.5, 43.5) at Miami Dolphins

New England Patriots (-3.5, 46) at New Orleans Saints

Dallas Cowboys (-3, 49.5) at Carolina Panthers

Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars (-1, 47.5)

Los Angeles Rams (-7.5, 44.5) at Baltimore Ravens

4 p.m. ET

Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders (-4, 41.5)

Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers (-14.5, 44.5)

San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3, 47.5)

Sunday Night Football

Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5, 53)

Monday

Buffalo Bills (-4.5, 50) at Atlanta Falcons

Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders (-4, 50)

Bye-week teams: Vikings, Texans

Public betting splits

Here is where the betting public has landed on Week 6 games at BetMGM sportsbooks.

Five most-bet games (by total number of wagers)

  1. Lions +2.5

  2. Colts -7.5

  3. Steelers -5.5

  4. Bills -4.5

  5. Broncos -7.5

Five most-bet games (by total dollars wagered)

  1. Colts -7.5

  2. Lions +2.5

  3. Steelers -5.5

  4. Patriots -3.5

  5. Cowboys -3

Most-bet totals (by total number of wagers)

  1. Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs Over 53

  2. Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons Over 50

  3. Denver Broncos at New York Jets Under 43.5

  4. Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers Over 38.5

  5. Los Angeles Rams at Baltimore Ravens Over 44.5

Most-bet underdogs to win (by total number of wagers)

  1. Detroit Lions +115

  2. Cincinnati Bengals +700

  3. Baltimore Ravens +325

  4. New York Jets +300

  5. San Francisco 49ers +140

From the bookmakers

"The Lions are the most bet team to cover as underdogs on 'Sunday Night Football.' Outside of Detroit, nearly every favorite is receiving a majority of bets to cover. This week features 11 spreads greater than a field goal and, generally, the book is looking for underdogs to cover." — Christian Cipollini, BetMGM trading manager

Seahawks-Jags

Thomas Gable, Borgata sportsbook director: "Quick turnaround for Jaguars off Monday night. We opened them -1.5, early Seattle money here so down to -1. Total bet up from 44.5 to 46.5. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the favorite flip. I could see this closing a pick-em."

49ers-Bucs

Gable: “We opened Tampa Bay -2.5, they’ve been bet up to 3. Total up from 46.5 to 47.5. Early money on Tampa Bay, not much on San Francisco, but not a ton has been written on this game overall. I think this will stay right around 3.”

Joey Feazel, Caesars Sportsbook NFL trading lead: “Brock Purdy again questionable dealing with that toe injury. Poor Mac Jones was beat up on Thursday. 49ers pulled off a very big victory against the Rams — a lot of injuries and still dealing with them going into this game. Bucs have been dealing with injuries as well. We’re seeing pretty much two-way action, a little more towards the 49ers. Line has moved towards the Bucs. This opened -1.5 on Sunday, now up to -3. Line movement towards Purdy not playing. Total wise, not much movement and not action." 

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Rams-Ravens

Gable: “We opened Rams -7.5, that’s where it still sits. Total down half a point. Public is all over the Rams here. We know no Lamar Jackson in this one, and it's been pretty much one-way traffic on the Rams. They’ve been a popular teaser play as well. It could get to 8, 8.5. If this continues to get bet one-way, we’ll probably test it out."

Feazel: “So far not a lot people wanting to touch the game, especially on the side. What people have been eyeing has been towards the over. Nobody’s bingo card was Baltimore being towards the bottom of the league on D so far, but injuries have been a problem. Mostly seeing over money, not a lot of people running to the window to lay 7.5 with the Rams or back Ravens. A few weeks ago, Ravens were atop most people’s power ratings. Definitely ML parlays tied to Baltimore."

Lions-Chiefs

Gable: “The Lions have been looking great since that Week 1 loss to Green Bay — they’ve been steamrolling everyone. We opened Chiefs -1.5, line moved to -2.5. Lions are facing major injuries in their secondary. Mostly recreational money on this game, and it has been on Detroit. Total up from 49.5 to 52.5. If the Lions were at full strength coming into the game, I’d have this as a pick, maybe Chiefs a half-point favorite.”

Feazel: “We have seen some movement on the total, opening at 49.5 now up to 52.5. That’s pretty much how it’s been for every Lions game so far. Seeing mostly over action to this point, we did see some Lions money come in early, but we’ve taken a flurry of Chiefs bets. This is the last game that the Chiefs will be missing Rashee Rice. I expect to see two-way action here with the Lions being a public darling. Even with the Chiefs in this spot, I still anticipate heavy Lions action, especially on the money line. I don’t see this going up to 3. This is going to be a very highly-bet game. Some sharp action on the Chiefs, respecting Kansas City’s defense and 'Sunday Night Football' in Kansas City is about one of the best home-field advantages you’ll get.”

Sharp action

It's always notable where respected bettors have landed on this week's games. While these prices may not currently be available at all sportsbooks, knowing where sharps have wagered can also be instructive for in-game wagering.

Yahoo Sports conversed with several bookmakers over the course of the week, and here is where some sharp action has been (and the numbers it came in at):

  • Dolphins +5.5, Chargers-Dolphins Under 44.5

  • Titans-Raiders Under 42.5 

  • Bucs -2.5

  • Ravens +7.5

  • Broncos -7, NY Jets +7.5

  • Panthers +3.5

  • Chiefs -1.5, Lions-Chiefs Over 51, 51.5

  • Bills -3.5, -4

Big bets

We'll be keeping track of six-figure (and larger) Week 6 NFL bets from sportsbooks, as well as if they end up cashing.

  • $339,000 on New York Giants +7.5 at Caesars (won)

Read more …

Lamar Jackson remains out of practice, Cooper Rush in line to start again

Details
10 October 2025

It looks like Cooper Rush will make another start for the Ravens this weekend.

Quarterback Lamar Jackson is not practicing on Friday, according to multiple reporters on the scene. That puts Rush in line to start his second consecutive game, as Jackson continues to deal with a hamstring injury suffered in the Week 4 loss to the Chiefs.

Jackson has not practiced since that contest.

The Ravens have a bye in Week 7, which could help set up Jackson to return for Week 8.

Rush completed 14-of-20 passes for 179 yards with three interceptions in Baltimore’s loss to Houston last week.

Linebacker Roquan Smith (hamstring) and receiver Devontez Walker (oblique) also were not practicing for the Ravens on Friday. But cornerback Chidobe Awuzie (hamstring) was on the field during the media’s viewing window.

The Ravens’ full final injury report of the week, with statuses for Sunday’s game against the Rams, will be released later on Friday.

Read more …

Fantasy Football Matchups to Exploit: Players in great spots for Week 6, plus deep sleepers to consider

Details
10 October 2025

Looking around the fantasy football landscape, I think you’re going to need a pretty big score to win your matchups this week, as a number of marquee players have soft landing spots. 

All your Rams are in a smash spot against the lowly Ravens defense; Matt Stafford, in particular, could end up being the top-scoring quarterback this week, tossing the rock to Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. 

Your Packers are in a great spot against a Bengals defense. Josh Jacobs faces a stop-unit that has given up the second-most fantasy points per game to his position group.

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Miami’s defense is terrible; they’re dead last in total yards allowed to running backs while at the same time allowing the third-most touchdowns to quarterbacks this year. This bodes well for your Chargers.

Chicago's and Washington’s defenses are both pretty porous, so no surprise that this game is tied for the highest projected point total (49.5). Rome Odunze, Jayden Daniels and all your premier Bears and Commanders could be in line for a field day.

One last wild stat before we dig into the matchups: After this week is in the books, an entire third of the regular season will be done. The season is flying by!

On to the sleepers!

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix Jr. vs. BUF

  • Serious home-road splits are developing for Penix. Across nine total games, Penix has played five at home and four on the road. At the friendly confines of Mercedes-Benz Stadium: 65% completion rate, seven total TD (two rush), three INT. 

  • On the road: 54% completion rate, one total TD, three INT.

  • The Bills defense shouldn’t scare you. While it’s true they’ve allowed the second-fewest passing yards, keep in mind they’ve seen Spencer Rattler, Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Fields (who suffered a concussion mid-game).

  • I also really like the fact that the Buffalo offense should put up numbers against the Falcons as well, potentially forcing Penix and company to keep pace by throwing the rock.

Mac Jones vs. TB

  • The Bucs have given up the fifth-most fantasy points per game to the position and they’re fresh off a game where Sam Darnold tossed for four scores.

  • Mac Jones is dealing with a knee injury but even against a much tougher Rams defense, he threw for 342 yards and two touchdowns.

Bryce Young vs. DAL

  • The Cowboys have allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Is it bad that literally every single quarterback they’ve faced has scored at least 24 fantasy points? That seems bad.

  • Young has been extremely up and down all year long but, to be fair, the team traded away his favorite target, Adam Thielen. Plus, Xavier Legette was injured and out for a couple of games as well. This week, it sounds like Jalen Coker could be activated off IR and play, adding another weapon for Young to throw to.


More Week 6 Start/Sit Advice

Rankings from each Yahoo Fantasy analyst

  • Justin Boone

  • Matt Harmon

  • Scott Pianowski

  • Joel Smyth

  • The Hub: All of our rankings, all in one place

Consensus Half-PPR Rankings

  • QB | RB | WR | TE | FLEX | D/ST | Kicker

Consensus PPR Rankings

  • RB | WR | TE | FLEX

More Roster Advice: Trade Value Charts

  • QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs


Running Backs

Jacory Croskey-Merritt vs. CHI

  • The Bears are arguably the worst run defense in the NFL. Not only have they allowed the most rushing yards to opposing running backs, the 6.05 yards per carry allowed is BY FAR the worst in the league. League average is 4.3 ypc while the Giants are second-worst at 5.61 ypc.

  • "Bill" had a huge breakthrough game last week with his first 100-yard game (111 rush yards on 14 carries, two touchdowns). Beyond the production, JCM also set a season high in total snaps. His 49.1% snap share led the Washington backfield.

Kimani Vidal vs. MIA

  • 🚨DEEP SLEEPER ALERT🚨

  • Full transparency, I don’t have a great read on this Chargers backfield but I do know that Vidal has a better overall skill set than Hassan Haskins. He is more of an early-down thumper but Vidal is a more explosive athlete and a much better pass-catching option.

  • If we can somehow manifest Vidal into a 50-50 split, he could post top-20 positional value — that’s how confident I am in what he can do, especially in this matchup.

  • The Dolphins have been atrocious versus the run. The 5.57 ypc allowed to opposing backs ranks as third-worst. They’re also second-worst in explosive run rate allowed. Pretty enticing for us Vidal Down Bad Bros (because let’s be real, if you’re playing Vidal, you are indeed down bad at the running back position).

Wide Receivers

Romeo Doubs vs. CIN

  • Doubs is a strong sleeper play as he faces a Bengals defense that is bottom 10 in receptions and yards allowed to outside wide receivers.

  • Doubs is a shining example of why chemistry matters. He hasn’t been a great separator in his career but despite the hype and talent of Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks and now Matthew Golden, Doubs has played the most snaps and leads all Packers receivers in targets, receptions and yards. His four touchdowns are as many as everyone else on the roster COMBINED.

Kendrick Bourne vs. TB

  • Ricky Pearsall has already been ruled out and Juaun Jennings is no lock to play either as he tries to work back from ankle and rib injuries.

  • Through five weeks of play, the Bucs are seemingly a pass-funnel defense. The run defense has been TOUGH while at the same time, they’ve been giving up big plays through the air. Tampa Bay has allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards to running backs and leads the league in yards after contact allowed.

  • No. 1 receivers have scored at least 13.5 PPR fantasy points in four of five games against Tampa Bay. Jaxon Smith-Njigba went off for 27.2 and Garrett Wilson had a season-best 24.4 PPR points in a Week 3 matchup.

Troy Franklin vs. NYJ

  • The Jets have given up the fourth-most yards per game to receivers in the slot. The 11.3 yards per pass attempt allowed to inside receivers is dead last in the NFL.

  • Franklin, who has played 60% of his snaps out of the slot, has been up and down in the box but he’s very clearly the No. 2 receiver in this offense; he’s second on the team in routes run, receptions and receiving yards.

Elic Ayomanor vs. LV

  • 🚨DEEP SLEEPER ALERT🚨

  • The Raiders have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to outside receivers this year and Ayomanor has played a whopping 85% of his snaps outside.

  • Ayomanor flopped last week, and the Titans offense has been terrible, so this is a scary play but that being said, Kyu Blu Kelly has been a turnstile; he’s allowed the third-most receiving yards in coverage, according to Next Gen Stats. I have him ranked as the 66th best outside corner based on a composite score of nine different cornerback metrics.

  • Ayomanor has lined up 56% of the time on the left side, the same side as Kelly.

Tight Ends

Hunter Long vs. SEA

  • 🚨DEEP SLEEPER ALERT🚨

  • After a strong start to the season, Brenton Strange hit injured reserve, opening the door for this rand-o tight end you’ve probably never heard of in Duval.

  • The fifth-year player was previously with the Rams (this is important) before landing in Jacksonville this past offseason. Remember, Liam Coen is a Sean McVay disciple, which may allow Long to take on a bigger role on this offense quickly.

  • And Coen seems more than comfortable sticking Long in on high-leverage situations. Long, despite only seeing eight targets all year, has still scored two touchdowns.

  • The Seahawks have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position and have somehow allowed five different tight ends to score double-digit PPR points in just five weeks. Even the lightly-used Cade Otton put together a solid four-catch, 81-yard effort last week.

Read more …

More Articles …

  1. NFL reviewing application of concussion protocol for Giants QB Jaxson Dart during win over Eagles
  2. Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice: What to do with Jaylen Warren, Sam LaPorta, more players in Week 6
  3. Report: Chris Godwin is not expected to play Sunday
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