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Sports

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Justin Boone's lineup picks (and benches) to help you win Week 11

Details
14 November 2025

Justin Boone provides a weekly look at undervalued fantasy football players to consider starting this week and potential busts you might want to leave on your bench.

For the rest of your lineup decisions, consult his Week 11 rankings.

Starts

Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams

vs. Seahawks

Stafford has thrown 20 touchdowns and no interceptions over his last six games and is playing at an elite level at the moment. He’s been a top-eight fantasy quarterback five times during that stretch, while throwing at least three touchdown passes in each of those contests.

The Seahawks will present a tougher challenge this week, but Seattle excels at stopping the run with the third-fewest rushing yards and fourth-fewest rushing scores allowed.

The better way to attack them is through the air and the Rams are tied for the fifth-highest implied point total in what’s expected to be one of the highest scoring games of the week, according to oddsmakers.

It also helps to know that the Rams are 5-0 when Stafford has started against the Seahawks.

Even in a more difficult matchup, don’t hesitate to start him as a strong mid-range QB1 this week.

Other QBs to start:

  • Joe Flacco at Steelers – The last time Flacco squared off with Pittsburgh, he threw for 342 yards and three touchdowns in Week 7. The Steelers’ defense has shown signs of improvement lately, but they’re still the 10th-best matchup for fantasy QBs.

  • Aaron Rodgers vs. Bengals – In that same game where Flacco went off, Rodgers threw four touchdowns of his own, finishing as the QB7 overall on the week. On the season, the Bengals are giving up the third-most fantasy points to QBs. 

Jaylen Warren, RB, Steelers

vs. Bengals

Targeting Cincinnati’s defense in 2025 is the quickest way to fantasy success, especially when it comes to the running backs.

The Bengals are allowing the most fantasy points to the position, including four weekly results inside the top-five and seven inside the top-12. Every team that’s faced Cincy has had at least one back finish as RB16 or better.

Warren’s best performance of the season came against this squad, when he posted 158 scrimmage yards and ended up as the RB10 on the week.

Now, he’s back for more in a game where the Steelers are at home and favored by 5.5 points. The contest also has one of the highest projected point totals on the slate at 48.5.

It’ll be nearly impossible to rank Warren outside of my top-10 fantasy RBs this week.

Other RBs to start:

  • Rico Dowdle at Falcons – The Falcons are giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to RBs and just got hammered by Jonathan Taylor to the tune of 286 scrimmage yards and three scores. This is a smash spot for Dowdle.

  • RJ Harvey vs. Chiefs – With J.K. Dobbins dealing with a foot injury, Harvey is expected to get his first start. While the matchup with the Chiefs isn’t the best, Harvey has flashed more than enough potential to be considered an upside RB2. Despite only seeing double-digit touches in one game this season, the rookie has topped 50 scrimmage yards four times and has scored five TDs over the last four weeks.

  • Woody Marks at Titans – A shift has occurred in the Texans’ backfield, with Marks playing a season-high 80% of the snaps in Week 10. Now, he gets a Titans’ defense that’s permitting the second-most points to running backs.

George Pickens, WR, Cowboys

at Raiders

Even with CeeDee Lamb returning to the lineup in Week 7, Pickens hasn’t missed a beat with stat lines of 4-82-0, 7-78-0 and 6-79 over the past three games.

The only thing he’s missing is touchdowns, but he’ll have an excellent chance to reach the end zone on Monday night.

The Cowboys have the fourth-highest implied point total on the week, against a Raiders team that’s giving up the sixth-most fantasy points to receivers.

Pickens has the ability to erupt in any matchup, but this is one of the easiest opponents left on his schedule. Start him as a high-end WR2 with WR1 upside.

Other WRs to start:

  • DeVonta Smith vs. Lions – Smith has been the Eagles’ best and most consistent receiver this season. Philly could be forced to pass more against the Lions, which would be good for fantasy since Detroit is the eighth-most generous defense to opposing wideouts.

  • Tee Higgins at Steelers – Higgins has four touchdowns in his last three games and posted a 6-96-1 stat line versus the Steelers in their last meeting back in Week 7.

  • Romeo Doubs at Giants – Doubs left early last week with a chest injury, but is practicing in full and should get back on track versus the Giants, who are the seventh-most friendly matchup for WRs.

Oronde Gadsden II, TE, Chargers

at Jaguars

Gadsden banged up his knee last week, leading to his first down game since taking over as the Chargers’ starter.

The good news is that the rookie still saw six targets in that game and continues to be a significant part of the passing attack.

Jacksonville offers the perfect bounce-back spot as the second-best opponent for fantasy tight ends. The Jaguars have allowed at least 70 yards and/or a touchdown to a tight end in six straight games.

Don’t overthink one bad week from Gadsden. He’s a locked-in TE1 with high-end upside whenever he’s healthy.

Other TEs to start:

  • Kyle Pitts Sr. vs. Panthers – Carolina allows the seventh-most fantasy points to tight ends and just gave up 92 yards and a score to Juwan Johnson last week. Pitts is a top-10 fantasy tight end for Week 11.

  • Travis Kelce at Broncos – Kelce doesn’t have the best matchup, but he’s been very consistent this season with at least 50 yards and/or a touchdown in five straight contests and seven of his nine outings on the year.

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Sits

Jared Goff, QB, Lions

at Eagles

Goff has an outstanding schedule to finish the fantasy season with six straight indoor games and several easy opponents, but before he gets there, he has to face the Eagles.

Philly is top-10 in fewest fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks and looked even more dangerous after acquiring LB Jaelan Phillips at the trade deadline.

An outdoor game on the road against a tough defense is where Goff tends to struggle the most, making him more of a risky QB2 streamer option this week.

However, after this contest, you should make a serious effort to buy low on members of the Lions’ offense.

Other QBs to sit:

  • Sam Darnold at Rams – Darnold is coming off one of his quietest games of the year and isn’t likely to rebound versus the Rams, who are the eighth-hardest matchup for fantasy QBs.

  • Bo Nix vs. Chiefs – Nix’s best fantasy performances this season came against very easy opponents like the Giants and Cowboys. Unfortunately for him, the Chiefs have only allowed two quarterbacks to top 225 passing yards against them this year and it was a pair of stars in Josh Allen and Justin Herbert. Don’t expect Nix to join that group.

Kenneth Walker III, RB, Seahawks

at Rams

Walker hasn’t reached double-digit fantasy points since the opening month of the season due to a timeshare with Zach Charbonnet and the overall struggles of the Seahawks’ rushing attack.

It’s turned Walker into a disappointing fantasy RB, who is hard to bench based on his talent, but even more difficult to trust in your lineup based on what we’ve seen so far this season.

This is also far from a get-right game against the Rams, since they’re the toughest opponent for fantasy backs in 2025.

Unless something significant changes down the stretch, Walker doesn’t look like a player who will be on many fantasy playoff rosters.

Other RBs to sit:

  • Kareem Hunt at Broncos – Since taking over the lead role from an injured Isiah Pacheco, Hunt has survived in fantasy thanks to touchdowns but has failed to top 50 yards in either contest. Unfortunately for him, the Broncos present an even stiffer challenge this week.

  • David Montgomery at Eagles – When the Lions’ offense is in a plus-matchup, Montgomery has added value thanks to the increased scoring potential. As I outlined with Goff, a game against the Eagles, which is outdoors and on the roa,d is not an ideal environment for this team.

  • Tyrone Tracy Jr. vs. Packers – Tracy hasn’t excelled in the lead-back role since Cam Skattebo was lost for the season. Now, he’ll face the Packers’ defense that’s top five in fewest fantasy points permitted to running backs.

Tetairoa McMillan, WR, Panthers

at Falcons

McMillan is having a solid rookie season where he’s shown more than enough to make me believe he’ll be an excellent pro during his career.

The problem is the current environment he finds himself in simply isn’t allowing him to produce big weeks for fantasy.

The first-rounder has only found the end zone in one of his 10 NFL games and that occurred against the Cowboys, who have been the softest possible matchup in 2025.

Bryce Young continues to limit the Panthers’ passing attack and it’s turned McMillan into a low-ceiling fantasy WR3.

Another tough matchup is on tap this week with A.J. Terrell and the Falcons, who are giving up the eighth-fewest fantasy points to receivers.

Lineup decisions always come down to who your other options are, but McMillan is far from the must-start he appeared to be emerging as earlier in the season.

Other WRs to sit:

  • Courtland Sutton vs. Chiefs – Sutton has only reached double-digit fantasy points once in his last five outings. He’s just a TD-or-bust WR3 against a Chiefs’ defense allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to wideouts.

  • Jameson Williams at Eagles – Williams has been standing out lately and should finish the season strong, but this week’s matchup against the Eagles is one to avoid. Philly has given up the third-fewest receptions and the seventh-fewest receiving yards this year.

  • Xavier Worthy at Broncos – Worthy has only topped 35 receiving yards once in his last four appearances and has just one touchdown during that span. That’s unlikely to change in a difficult spot against the Broncos.

Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens

at Browns

With Andrews only playing 58% of the snaps in the three games since the Ravens’ bye, he’s becoming harder and harder to start with any confidence.

The veteran has been held under 35 receiving yards in eight of his nine games this season. His only saving grace has come in the form of touchdowns, including three over the last two weeks.

However, we know how volatile TD scoring can be, which makes Andrews hard to trust as anything more than a TD-or-bust TE2 streamer.

The Browns have only let one tight end go over 40 yards against them this year and it was a fairly fluky performance from Darnell Washington.

Other TEs to sit:

  • Dalton Schultz at Titans – Schultz is dealing with a shoulder injury, which could limit him this week. He’s also facing a Titans’ defense that’s been solid against tight ends and held Schultz to just 30 yards in their first meeting in Week 4.

  • David Njoku vs. Ravens – Njoku is another TD-or-bust streamer, who’s only topped 40 yards once this season. With the Ravens’ defense heating up, you can do better than Njoku this week.

Read more …

Everything to know for betting NFL Week 11: Sharp action, public betting splits and big bets

Details
14 November 2025

Week 11 of the NFL season has arrived, and it's time to get those bets in. 

We've compiled where the public is betting at BetMGM sportsbooks, along with some notable wagers, and asked around at several other books to find out where the sharp action has come in for this weekend's games.

[For all of our NFL betting content, be sure to check out our betting hub right here.]

Week 11 NFL best bets| Betting trends | Survivor picks

Public betting splits

Here is where the betting public has landed on Week 11 games at BetMGM sportsbooks.

Five most-bet games (by total number of wagers)

  1. San Francisco 49ers -3

  2. Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

  3. Minnesota Vikings -2.5

  4. Detroit Lions +2.5

  5. Dallas Cowboys -3.5

Five most-bet games (by total dollars wagered)

  1. San Francisco 49ers -3

  2. Minnesota Vikings -2.5

  3. Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

  4. Green Bay Packers -7

  5. Houston Texans -6

Most-bet totals (by total number of wagers)

  1. NKansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Under 45

  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills Under 47.5

  3. Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns Under 39.5

  4. Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins (Neutral Venue) Over 47.5

  5. Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles Over 46.5

Most-bet underdogs to win (by total number of wagers)

  1. Detroit Lions +130

  2. Denver Broncos +170

  3. Chicago Bears +125

  4. Washington Commanders +130

  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +200

From the bookmakers

"Bettors are focused on division matchups in Week 11. The Vikings, 49ers and Chiefs covering as favorites would be great for customers. A few underdogs being competitive would help the sportsbook." —Christian Cipollini, BetMGM trading manager

Bears at Vikings

Thomas Gable, Borgata sportsbook director: "One of the least-bet games on the board for us. Vikings laying 3, opened 2.5. Money we have taken thus far has been on Minnesota, and a little bit skewed on the over. Not much write on that game."

Joey Feazel, head NFL trader at Caesars Sportsbook: "Majority of the action on the over to this point. Bettors laying the Vikings early on, this line opened -2.5, now at a flat 3. Don’t know if the Bears have impressed people, even though they have a winning record. Going the Broncos route, showing up in the fourth quarter, which is impressive, but not as much for bettors. I wouldn't be surprised to the Vikings money continue. We saw this open at 47, now up to 48.5. Both of these defenses a little bit overrated, so not surprised to see the total drift up. Probably will see more over and Vikings money, and probably will need the Bears and under."

Bucs at Bills

Gable: "We have not moved the number in this at all from the opener of Bills -5.5. Coming off that huge upset loss in Miami on Sunday and Tampa Bay coming off that loss vs. New England. Very good two-way action so far at 5.5. Total has dropped from 50.5 to 48."

Feazel: "Bucs were very heavily backed against Patriots last week. Bills also were heavily backed on Sunday. Action here, seeing more Bills action and a little bit more towards the under. Total opened at 50.5, down to 48. Public hasn’t given up on Buffalo yet."

Seahawks at Rams

Gable: "We opened the Rams -2.5, moved to 3 after some early L.A. money. It might stay 3, you’re starting to see Seattle money come in. I think this will toggle between 2.5 and 3. Total is 48.5, no change from the opener."

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Feazel: One of the games we’d expect a lot of two-way action, but seeing a little more Rams action at the moment. Seahawks fans should travel well. I think it’s between NFC North and NFC West as the best divisions. Expect to see a lot more two-way action. So far, bettors coming in on the over. This will be one of our biggest bet games of the year.

Chiefs at Broncos

Gable: "A lot of people think the Broncos are a little fraudulent. Not sure the Broncos have surpassed the Chiefs yet. We opened KC -3.5, it’s been mostly all Chiefs money so far, we’re up to 4. Total hasn’t moved up to 44.5 where we opened."

Feazel: "We took a big bet ($100,000 on Chiefs -3.5) so that’s skewing the action, but regardless I’m expecting a lot of Chiefs action in this one. Broncos offense is underperforming, and that resonates with bettors. Chiefs laying a bigger number on the road against the Broncos, which is what market sees. Public isn’t very high on Bo Nix vs. Patrick Mahomes. We’re going to see a lot of bettors on Kansas City. Total down from 45.5 to 44.5. Strength of both teams is their defense, also want to keep an eye on weather in this one."

Lions at Eagles

Gable: "We opened Eagles -1.5, up to 2.5 now. Big move has been on the total, we opened 49 and down to 46.5. Took respected money at 49 and 48, and made another adjustment after Monday night. Exposure right now at the higher numbers."

Feazel: "Public came in hard on the Eagles on Monday versus the Packers. Packers are like the Broncos, you’re waiting on Jordan Love & Co. to show up. Another public darling is the Lions, but we are seeing more Eagles money. Opened 48.5, now 46.5. Going to be a lot of action on this game. I don’t think the total goes down on Sunday. This was the NFC championship game that everyone wanted to see last year. I expect to see a lot more Lions action come in before kickoff."

Sharp action

It's always notable where respected bettors have landed on this week's games. While these prices may not currently be available at all sportsbooks, knowing where sharps have wagered can also be instructive for in-game wagering.

Yahoo Sports conversed with several bookmakers over the course of the week, and here is where some sharp action has been (and the numbers it came in at):

  • Bills -5.5

  • NY Giants +8.5

  • Vikings -2.5

  • Jaguars +3

  • Browns +8

  • Eagles -1.5, Lions-Eagles Under 49, 48

  • Raiders +3.5

Big bets

We'll be keeping track of six-figure (and larger) Week 11 NFL bets from sportsbooks, as well as if they end up cashing.

  • $100,000 on Patriots-Jets under 43 at BetMGM (won)

  • $100,000 on Chiefs -3.5 at Caesars

Read more …

LB Frankie Luvu, S Quan Martin set to play for Commanders Sunday

Details
14 November 2025

The Commanders have released their final injury report ahead of Sunday's game against the Dolphins in Madrid.

Linebacker Frankie Luvu and safety Quan Martin were both limited participants in practice on Wednesday and Thursday due to shoulder injuries. They were listed as full participants on Friday, however, and are set to play after avoiding injury designations for this weekend.

Running back Chris Rodriguez (shoulder) and linebacker Bobby Wagner (thumb) are also on track to play. Both players were full participants in practice all week.

Quarterback Jayden Daniels (elbow), wide receiver Terry McLaurin (quad), wide receiver Treylon Burks (finger), and linebacker Ale Kaho (concussion) were ruled out early in the week. The Commanders also announced that they will not activate safety Will Harris (ankle) and defensive end Drake Jackson (knee) this week.

Linebacker Jordan Magee (knee) and tight end Ben Sinnott (ankle) are listed as questionable.

Read more …

More Articles …

  1. Fantasy Football: 6 player projections that don't make sense for Week 11
  2. Fantasy Football: 1 Player to watch from each team for every Week 11 game
  3. Fantasy Football Week 11: Chargers vs. Jaguars, Bears vs. Vikings, and other matchups to exploit
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