Week 8 of the NFL season started with a dominant performance by the Los Angeles Chargers, crushing the Minnesota Vikings 37-10 as 3.5-point home favorites.

What will the rest of the weekend have in store for bettors?

Our NFL handicapping team of Ed Feng, Michael Fiddle and Matt Jacob combine to give their best bets for Week 8 of the NFL season. This article will be updated throughout the weekend.

Odds courtesy of BetMGM.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5, 44)

Feng: Jalen Hurts has thrown one interception all season, which actually came in the Eagles' previous game against the Giants. While it seems like Hurts has mastered turnover prevention, a 0.5% interception rate is unsustainable in the chaos of the NFL. My interception model predicts Hurts as NFL average for the remainder of the season and gives a 48.4% chance he throws a pick against the Giants. There is great value for a break even probability of 43.5% at BetMGM before this moves towards the rest of the market.

Bet: Jalen Hurts over 0.5 interceptions (+130)

Miami Dolphins at Atlanta Falcons (-7.5, 44.5)

Feng: Tua Tagovailoa struggled last week against Cleveland with three interceptions before getting benched for Quinn Ewers. Tagovailoa now faces another elite pass defense in Atlanta. My model based on adjusted yards per pass attempt predicts Tagovailoa for 136.0 passing yards, an estimate that seems too low. However, Tagovailoa has a depleted receiving corps, as Malik Washington had the most targets last week. It also seems like Miami will have a short leash for Tagovailoa if he struggles. The number at BetMGM is higher than at other books.

Bet: Tua Tagovailoa under 200.5 passing yards

Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-7, 40.5)

Jacob: How good has Drake Maye been in his sophomore season in New England? He’s one of just four QBs in the league with more than 1,700 passing yards, at least 13 TDs and fewer than three interceptions. The others: Matthew Stafford, Patrick Mahomes and Baker Mayfield.

Maye also has eclipsed 200 passing yards in all seven of the Patriots’ games, putting up at least 230 five times.

Now, how good is the Cleveland Browns’ secondary? It is surrendering just 173.7 passing yards per game. Only Buffalo (167.2) and Atlanta (141.2) have been stingier.

Among the quarterbacks Cleveland has completely stymied this year: Tua Tagovailoa (100 yards last week), Joe Burrow (113 passing yards), Jared Goff (168) and Jordan Love (183). The only two QBs to surpass 225 passing yards against the Browns so far? Carson Wentz and Aaron Rodgers, and they put up just 236 and 235 yards, respectively.

Granted, Maye shredded the Bills’ second-ranked pass defense in Week 5 (273 yards). But I expect Myles Garrett and Co. to rattle Maye — who has been sacked 22 times, tied for second most in the NFL — and for the secondary to clamp down on a Patriots’ receiving corps that is playing away above its talent level.

Bet: Drake Maye under 225 passing yards (-115)

Buffalo Bills (-7, 46.5) at Carolina Panthers

Jacob: Since Josh Allen took over under center, the Bills have inarguably been one of the NFL’s best teams — on the field, that is. At the wagering window? That’s a different story, especially in the last few years.

Since the start of the 2022 season, Buffalo owns a 27-28-1 point-spread record in the regular season. In particular, the Bills have struggled to cover big numbers: They’re 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games when favored by six points or more.

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In the last five weeks alone, Buffalo struggled to put away Miami and New Orleans at home (failing to cover as an 11.5- and 14.5-point favorite, respectively), and lost outright to New England at home (23-20 as an 8-point favorite). Then the Bills went to Atlanta as a 4-point favorite and lost 24-14 — their fourth straight non-cover.

Among that quartet, only the Patriots (5-2) have a better record than Carolina (4-3). In fact, the Panthers come into Sunday’s home game having won three in a row, all as an underdog.

Do I expect a fourth straight outright upset for the upstart Panthers? I’m not going that far. But Carolina has covered in 12 of its last 16 overall, going 7-1 ATS at home and a perfect 7-0 ATS when catching any points — let alone the 7.5 points that Buffalo is laying in this one.

Bet: Panthers +7.5 (-115)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4, 47) at New Orleans Saints

Fiddle: The total for this game dropped from 48.5 to 46.5 in the wake of Mike Evans' broken collarbone. We also have word that RB Bucky Irving and WR Chris Godwin will not be returning for the Buccaneers in this game, either. 

Despite the injuries to the skill positions, the Tampa Bay's offensive line is the healthiest it has been this season — star tackle Tristan Wirfs is no longer listed on the injury report, and the two other linemen who are have been upgraded to full participants in practice this week. These can be mitigating factors as rookie WRs Emeka Egbuka and Tez Johnson both have shined in recent weeks. 

On the New Orleans side, Kellen Moore's offense relies on pace. For three straight years as the offensive coordinator for the Cowboys and Eagles, Moore ranked either first or second every year in pace of play. Now in New Orleans, he maintains this philosophy and the Saints have the fastest pace — or the lowest seconds per play, at just 27 seconds between offensive snaps. This game should move quick and feature explosive plays, so I am fading the injury-related line movement and playing the over.

Bet: Over 46.5

Sunday Night Football

Green Bay Packers (-3, 45.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Jacob: Are the Packers more talented than the Steelers? No doubt. But they’re also more talented than the Browns, yet they lost 13-10 in Cleveland in Week 3. And more talented than the Cowboys, yet they only managed a 40-40 tie in Dallas in Week 4. And more talented than the Cardinals, yet they barely escaped with a 27-23 win in Arizona last week as a 7-point favorite.

That makes Green Bay 0-for-3 against the point spread as a visitor this season. Go back to 2024, and the Packers are 4-4-1 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last nine road trips (playoffs included).

Those details alone are enough to consider backing Pittsburgh on Sunday Night Football. Now toss in this fact: The Steelers have pulled off outright upsets in 16 of their last 24 games as an underdog (going 17-7 ATS).

Pittsburgh also hammered the same Browns team in Week 6 (23-9 victory) that Green Bay lost to in Week 3.

Bet: Steelers +3

Monday

Washington Commanders at Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5, 48)

Fiddle: The news that QB Jayden Daniels' would miss this game with hamstring injury came in on Thursday afternoon and Marcus Mariota would be starting in his place f

While Washington does return its two star WRs in Terry Mclaurin and Deebo Samuel, the downgrade to Mariota at the helm drastically reduces the expected offensive output. Dan Quinn, a defensive minded head coach, will lean on his defense to continue to put pressure on the QB (eighth in the NFL in sacks), and keep the Kansas City Chiefs from converting red-zone opportunities into touchdowns (13th in NFL in defensive red zone success rate). 

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Offensively, the Commanders may rely on the ground game to limit the possessions and decrease the explosiveness of KC. The best way to beat the best QB in the NFL and leading MVP candidate (Patrick Mahomes) is to try and keep him off the field and win the time of possession battle.

In the betting market, this total hit 48.5 and faced clear resistance. Now 48 remains the highest total on the board with 47.5s showing up as well. I suspect we are buying the under at the best possible price we'll likely see between now and kickoff Monday Night.

Bet: Under 48