Everything to know for betting NFL Week 11: Sharp action, public betting splits and big bets

Week 11 of the NFL season has arrived, and it's time to get those bets in. 

We've compiled where the public is betting at BetMGM sportsbooks, along with some notable wagers, and asked around at several other books to find out where the sharp action has come in for this weekend's games.

[For all of our NFL betting content, be sure to check out our betting hub right here.]

Week 11 NFL best bets| Betting trends | Survivor picks

Public betting splits

Here is where the betting public has landed on Week 11 games at BetMGM sportsbooks.

Five most-bet games (by total number of wagers)

  1. San Francisco 49ers -3

  2. Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

  3. Minnesota Vikings -2.5

  4. Detroit Lions +2.5

  5. Dallas Cowboys -3.5

Five most-bet games (by total dollars wagered)

  1. San Francisco 49ers -3

  2. Minnesota Vikings -2.5

  3. Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

  4. Green Bay Packers -7

  5. Houston Texans -6

Most-bet totals (by total number of wagers)

  1. NKansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Under 45

  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills Under 47.5

  3. Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns Under 39.5

  4. Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins (Neutral Venue) Over 47.5

  5. Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles Over 46.5

Most-bet underdogs to win (by total number of wagers)

  1. Detroit Lions +130

  2. Denver Broncos +170

  3. Chicago Bears +125

  4. Washington Commanders +130

  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +200

From the bookmakers

"Bettors are focused on division matchups in Week 11. The Vikings, 49ers and Chiefs covering as favorites would be great for customers. A few underdogs being competitive would help the sportsbook." —Christian Cipollini, BetMGM trading manager

Bears at Vikings

Thomas Gable, Borgata sportsbook director: "One of the least-bet games on the board for us. Vikings laying 3, opened 2.5. Money we have taken thus far has been on Minnesota, and a little bit skewed on the over. Not much write on that game."

Joey Feazel, head NFL trader at Caesars Sportsbook: "Majority of the action on the over to this point. Bettors laying the Vikings early on, this line opened -2.5, now at a flat 3. Don’t know if the Bears have impressed people, even though they have a winning record. Going the Broncos route, showing up in the fourth quarter, which is impressive, but not as much for bettors. I wouldn't be surprised to the Vikings money continue. We saw this open at 47, now up to 48.5. Both of these defenses a little bit overrated, so not surprised to see the total drift up. Probably will see more over and Vikings money, and probably will need the Bears and under."

Bucs at Bills

Gable: "We have not moved the number in this at all from the opener of Bills -5.5. Coming off that huge upset loss in Miami on Sunday and Tampa Bay coming off that loss vs. New England. Very good two-way action so far at 5.5. Total has dropped from 50.5 to 48."

Feazel: "Bucs were very heavily backed against Patriots last week. Bills also were heavily backed on Sunday. Action here, seeing more Bills action and a little bit more towards the under. Total opened at 50.5, down to 48. Public hasn’t given up on Buffalo yet."

Seahawks at Rams

Gable: "We opened the Rams -2.5, moved to 3 after some early L.A. money. It might stay 3, you’re starting to see Seattle money come in. I think this will toggle between 2.5 and 3. Total is 48.5, no change from the opener."

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Feazel: One of the games we’d expect a lot of two-way action, but seeing a little more Rams action at the moment. Seahawks fans should travel well. I think it’s between NFC North and NFC West as the best divisions. Expect to see a lot more two-way action. So far, bettors coming in on the over. This will be one of our biggest bet games of the year.

Chiefs at Broncos

Gable: "A lot of people think the Broncos are a little fraudulent. Not sure the Broncos have surpassed the Chiefs yet. We opened KC -3.5, it’s been mostly all Chiefs money so far, we’re up to 4. Total hasn’t moved up to 44.5 where we opened."

Feazel: "We took a big bet ($100,000 on Chiefs -3.5) so that’s skewing the action, but regardless I’m expecting a lot of Chiefs action in this one. Broncos offense is underperforming, and that resonates with bettors. Chiefs laying a bigger number on the road against the Broncos, which is what market sees. Public isn’t very high on Bo Nix vs. Patrick Mahomes. We’re going to see a lot of bettors on Kansas City. Total down from 45.5 to 44.5. Strength of both teams is their defense, also want to keep an eye on weather in this one."

Lions at Eagles

Gable: "We opened Eagles -1.5, up to 2.5 now. Big move has been on the total, we opened 49 and down to 46.5. Took respected money at 49 and 48, and made another adjustment after Monday night. Exposure right now at the higher numbers."

Feazel: "Public came in hard on the Eagles on Monday versus the Packers. Packers are like the Broncos, you’re waiting on Jordan Love & Co. to show up. Another public darling is the Lions, but we are seeing more Eagles money. Opened 48.5, now 46.5. Going to be a lot of action on this game. I don’t think the total goes down on Sunday. This was the NFC championship game that everyone wanted to see last year. I expect to see a lot more Lions action come in before kickoff."

Sharp action

It's always notable where respected bettors have landed on this week's games. While these prices may not currently be available at all sportsbooks, knowing where sharps have wagered can also be instructive for in-game wagering.

Yahoo Sports conversed with several bookmakers over the course of the week, and here is where some sharp action has been (and the numbers it came in at):

  • Bills -5.5

  • NY Giants +8.5

  • Vikings -2.5

  • Jaguars +3

  • Browns +8

  • Eagles -1.5, Lions-Eagles Under 49, 48

  • Raiders +3.5

Big bets

We'll be keeping track of six-figure (and larger) Week 11 NFL bets from sportsbooks, as well as if they end up cashing.

  • $100,000 on Patriots-Jets under 43 at BetMGM (won)

  • $100,000 on Chiefs -3.5 at Caesars

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